How do I use technical share analysis?

Technical analysis doesn’t focus on a company’s credentials but on share price charts, their patterns and formations, to help predict future share price movements.

There are many ways to analyse an investment and the right approach for you will depend on your timeframe, personal circumstances, risk appetite and objectives.

Some investors believe that if they know what they’re looking for - which stocks to buy or sell - then technical analysis can help them decide when to do it.

Charts illustrate movements in a company’s share price, providing insight into ‘the mind of the market’, how share prices fluctuate and react to different news, events and economic cycles.

Reading charts

There are several types of charts that investors use to conduct technical analysis but the most simple is a line chart.

The image below shows the performance of a company’s shares over a one year period.

Some investors believe that shares are likely to keep moving in the direction of a ‘trend line’, such as the one in the chart below. The line connects recent troughs in the share price.

A sequence of rising troughs is viewed as a positive trend, while a sequence of falling peaks is a negative trend.

Investors might wait until a stock on an upward trend starts rising from a trough before they buy, rather than trying to predict when the stock has reached the bottom of the trough.

Charts shown are for illustrative purposes only and do not represent a recommendation by CommSec MyWealth to buy, sell or hold any security.

Support and resistance

Another pattern that technical investors sometimes look for is lines of support and resistance.

A line of support, in red in the chart below, would mark a price that a stock is unlikely to fall below, based on its previous movements. Of course, there’s no guarantee it won’t fall further but some investors might use these lines, to choose when to buy shares.

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Any securities or prices used in the examples given are for illustrative purposes only and should not be considered as a recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. This information is not advice and has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial or taxation situation or needs of any particular individual. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to the individual's objectives, financial or taxation situation and needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice. Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945 and a Participant of the ASX Group and Chi-X Australia.

 

© Commonwealth Securities Limited ABN 60 067 254 399 AFSL 238814 (CommSec) is a wholly owned but non-guaranteed subsidiary of the Commonwealth Bank of Australia ABN 48 123 123 124 AFSL 234945. CommSec is a Market Participant of ASX Limited and Cboe Australia Pty Limited, a Clearing Participant of ASX Clear Pty Limited and a Settlement Participant of ASX Settlement Pty Limited.

The information on this page has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. For this reason, any individual should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of the information, having regards to their objectives, financial situation or needs, and, if necessary, seek appropriate professional advice.

CommSec does not give any representation or warranty as to the accuracy, reliability or completeness of any content on this page, including any third party sourced data, nor does it accept liability for any errors or omissions.

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